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Travel Risk · Live

Operational risk, ranked by flight impact

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Global operational risk

One composite across all 12 monitored domains — the same index community.wfmlabs.com reads, arranged travel-first.

4.2ELEVATED

Composite

4.2

ELEVATED

Basis

0/12

settled

Provisional

12

scored on an absolute basis

Unavailable

0

no reading

PROVISIONAL

PROVISIONAL — this score is scored on a provisional basis, because the trailing 30-day baseline is not yet usable. Baseline 31% complete. Provisional scores are comparable to each other right now, but NOT to a settled score and NOT to their own history. Expected to settle about 6 Aug 14:12 UTC. Last computed 18:09 UTC.

Baseline expected to settle about 6 Aug 14:12 UTC.

source: ovix-api /api/ovix/op-risk?scope=global  ·  rule: op_risk_index v4  ·  computed 18:09 UTC

The risk board — ordered by impact on a flight

Rank is presentation only. Scores, thresholds and the canonical 12-domain taxonomy are identical to the rest of the platform; only the order and the emphasis differ.

12 OF 12 DOMAINS

#1TravelPROV4.0ELEVATED

The direct signal — ground stops, carrier IROPS, GDS outages, rail.

Ground Stop: ORD

src travel-intel/FAA  ·  235 events  ·  basis provisional_absolute  ·  rule v4

#2WeatherPROV4.8ELEVATED

The single largest cause of delay and cancellation worldwide.

Massive southern France wildfire not advancing but still not under control, officials say

src scout-gale  ·  361 events  ·  basis provisional_absolute  ·  rule v4

#3InfrastructurePROV4.0ELEVATED

ATC system outages, airport power, telecom, cloud and booking dependencies.

Scores injured as earthquake hits near Naples in seismic swarm

src scout-grid  ·  48 events  ·  basis provisional_absolute  ·  rule v4

#4LaborPROV3.5NORMAL

ATC, airline and ground-handler strikes — routinely closes European airspace.

[Pasig, Philippines] labor 6.0 — Pasig court issues TRO on P85 Metro Manila minimum wage hike

src sentinel  ·  3 events  ·  basis provisional_absolute  ·  rule v4

#5GeopoliticalPROV4.7ELEVATED

Airspace closures, overflight bans, conflict-zone reroutes.

[Pahalgam, India] geopolitical 6.0 — Kulgam terror attack: Farooq Abdullah asks why incidents happen "whenever we seek statehood"

src sentinel  ·  52 events  ·  basis provisional_absolute  ·  rule v4

#6CyberPROV4.7ELEVATED

Airline IT and GDS compromise — the AA-class event.

[Denver] cyber 10.0 — igloohome Smart Lock Mobile Application

src sentinel  ·  265 events  ·  basis provisional_absolute  ·  rule v4

#7SeismicPROV4.0ELEVATED

Volcanic ash is a first-order aviation hazard; quakes close airports.

Magnitude 4.7 Quake Strikes Near Italy's Naples, Causing Outages and Damage

src scout-richter  ·  384 events  ·  basis provisional_absolute  ·  rule v4

#8DisasterPROV4.7ELEVATED

Airport closure, mass evacuation, terminal damage.

[Var (Department)] disaster 5.5 — Massive southern France wildfire not advancing but still not under control, officials say

src sentinel  ·  450 events  ·  basis provisional_absolute  ·  rule v4

#9HealthPROV4.7ELEVATED

Entry rules, screening, quarantine — border friction.

[Italy] health 6.0 — Avian Influenza A(H9N2) - Italy

src sentinel  ·  133 events  ·  basis provisional_absolute  ·  rule v4

#10EnvironmentalPROV4.2ELEVATED

Smoke, ash dispersion and air quality affecting operations.

[Woodside, California] environmental 6.0 — Sonoma Co.: Update: Woodside Fire On Coast Grows To 100 Acres Thursday

src sentinel  ·  60 events  ·  basis provisional_absolute  ·  rule v4

#11Supply ChainPROV3.0NORMAL

Jet fuel, parts, catering.

US Bans Imports From 43 Chinese Firms Over Forced Labor Charge

src scout-convoy  ·  19 events  ·  basis provisional_absolute  ·  rule v4

#12FinancialPROV3.9NORMAL

Carrier solvency, fuel cost.

[England, United Kingdom] financial 6.0 — -Bank of England policymakers set out views on rates outlook after split vote

src sentinel  ·  58 events  ·  basis provisional_absolute  ·  rule v4

Airport monitoring — checked, degraded, or unknown

An airport we did not check is never drawn as an airport that is fine. Three states, three treatments.

SWEEP EVERY 15 MIN

Degraded

23

disruption observed

Nominal

136

checked 5m ago

Unknown

113

not covered / no answer

In registry

272

airports swept

Feed coverage is measured, not assumed: 193 live, 45 schedule-only, 3 delays-only, 31 with no commercial feed at all — those last are NOTAM-driven or genuinely unknown, and are counted as unknown above rather than as calm.

ORDChicago, USdelay_indextier 1 · 5m ago

MNLManila (Pasay), PHmedian_delaytier 1 · 5m ago

FCORome, ITmedian_delaytier 1 · 5m ago

BCNBarcelona, ESmedian_delaytier 2 · 5m ago

AUHAbu Dhabi, AEdelay_indextier 2 · 5m ago

LISLisbon, PTmedian_delaytier 2 · 5m ago

SZXShenzhen, CNdelay_indextier 2 · 5m ago

SHAShanghai (Minhang), CNdelay_indextier 2 · 5m ago

source: Hub airport_observations (api-060)  ·  rule: airport_observation_status v1  ·  sweep 2026-08-01T18:15Z  ·  checked 5m ago  ·  coverage rule: airport_feed_coverage v1

Tier 1 airports are actively polled; Tier 3 are event-driven only. A fast reading on a Tier 3 field is not the same confidence as a Tier 1 one. The airports map itself is hub-048.

Live travel disruption

Direct regulator and operator feeds — FAA programmes and ATCSCC advisories, transit, road and maritime.

2.2NOMINAL

aviation

1.5

NOMINAL · 8 events

roads

0.0

NOMINAL · 0 events

transit

1.4

NOMINAL · 23 events

maritime

4.0

ELEVATED · 10 events

intel

6.0

SIGNIFICANT · 12 events

NOTAM: LASTO NON SKED TRANSIENT GA ACFT EXC 24 HR PPR 702-261-7775 · NOTAM 232FAA · live · 8m ago

NOTAM: LAXTO NON SKED TRANSIENT GA ACFT EXC 24HR PPR CTC ATLANTIC AVIATION 310-258-9884 OR SIGNATURE AVIATION 310-410-9605 · NOTAM 277FAA · live · 8m ago

Departure Delays: MCO46 minutes-1 hour, Increasing — TM Initiatives:MIT:WXFAA · unknown · 8m ago

Departure Delays: TPA16 minutes-30 minutes, Increasing — WX:ThunderstormsFAA · unknown · 8m ago

Departure Delays: FLL15 minutes-29 minutes, Decreasing — TM Initiatives:MIT:WXFAA · unknown · 8m ago

source: travel-intel /api/travel/scores  ·  rule: faa_airport_events v2  ·  rule: atcscc_carrier_advisory v2

How fast did we know

Time-to-know, measured per source against the event's own onset and against the press. Being first is the point of this platform, so the scoreboard is published including when we lose.

Source	Coverage	Median lag vs onset	vs press	Win rate
scout-vector	25.0% (2/8)	211.5 min	-174 min	0.0%
travel-intel/MBTA	0.0% (0/7)	—	—	—
travel-intel/News-Intel	0.0% (0/7)	—	—	—
travel-intel/NWS	0.0% (0/7)	—	—	—
travel-intel/SEPTA	14.3% (1/7)	—	—	—
travel-intel/BART	0.0% (0/7)	—	—	—
travel-intel/CTA	14.3% (1/7)	—	—	—
travel-intel/TTC	0.0% (0/7)	—	—	—

Read coverage before any median: a fast median over a handful of events is not a fast feed. A source with no conclusive press comparison shows —, never a flattering blank win-rate.

source: Hub latency_by_source (agents-051, migration 046)  ·  rule: latency_ledger v1

Open incidents

Declared by Watchkeeper against the same thresholds as the rest of the platform, re-ordered here by flight impact.

All incidents →

SEV2#2 WeatherRed Heat Wave Warning — Łódź, Poland — Contact-Center Operations Footprint at RiskLodz, PL · 3d ago SEV2#2 WeatherOrange High-Temperature Warning Issued for Sicily, Italy — Contact-Center Operations Footprint at RiskRome, IT · 4d ago SEV3#6 CyberRussian State-Sponsored Phishing Campaign Targeting Zimbra Collaboration Suite — Des Moinesglobal · 2d ago

source: Hub incidents (Watchkeeper)  ·  ordering: travelrisk flight-impact rank (presentation only)

Live travel signals

The travel domain of the member intel feed.

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source: Hub signals (scouts · travel-intel · web-scout · sentinel)

Latest brief

Compass publishes an operational brief as events develop.

Compass Brief — 2026-08-01 · 06:00 UTC

published 12h ago

Read full →

What you are looking at

Travel Risk is a travel-first presentation of the WFM Labs operational intelligence platform — the same monitored domains, the same scores, the same incident and evidence layer that powers community.wfmlabs.com. It is not a separate dataset and not a separate product. What differs is the ordering: domains are ranked by their effect on a flight in the next 48 hours.

Every figure on this page names its source, its rule version and when it was last checked. Where a figure does not exist yet, the page says so rather than filling the space.

surface: travelrisk  ·  app: wfmlabs-hub  ·  data plane: 01-Source/DATA-PLANE-CONTRACT.md