SEV3 — ElevatedCLOSEDWeather✓ Corroborated · 4 sources17d ago

Tornado Warning — Uvalde, TX

A Tornado Warning is active for Uvalde, TX. No known contact-center or knowledge-worker operations are present in the affected area. News coverage spans unrelated weather events across California and Ontario with no direct WFM footprint relevance.

Impact Summary

A Tornado Warning is active for Uvalde, TX. No known contact-center or knowledge-worker operations are present in the affected area. News coverage spans unrelated weather events across California and Ontario with no direct WFM footprint relevance.

Domain
Weather
Region
Uvalde, TX, Uvalde, TX
Opened By
watchkeeper
Jul 15, 2026, 06:31 AM UTC
Validated By
auto
Jul 15, 2026, 06:31 AM UTC
Event Cluster
2 events
OVIX Score
10.0
Closed
watchkeeper-auto(resolved)
Jul 16, 2026, 07:30 PM UTC

Timeline5

⚠
Incident openedby watchkeeperJul 15, 2026, 06:31 AM UTC
Declared from 1 signals. OVIX 10. News 2. BPO 0. Acute severe-weather floor (agents-028): authoritative short-fuse warning, declared at SEV3 regardless of resolved BPO footprint.
✓
Severity validatedby autoJul 15, 2026, 06:31 AM UTC
Auto-validated: SEV3 per policy.
✎
Note addedby watchkeeperJul 15, 2026, 06:31 AM UTC
External corroboration: corroborated (4 sources via Exa). texastribune.org, uvaldeleadernews.com, news4sanantonio.com, expressnews.com
✎
Note addedby watchkeeperJul 15, 2026, 07:01 AM UTC
Merged new cluster (1 signals, OVIX 10) — same domain, active <24h.
✖
Incident closedby watchkeeperJul 16, 2026, 07:30 PM UTC
Auto-closed: no new material events within 36h for this incident.

Evidence / Why this?

Traced to source — read-onlyUpdated Jul 15, 06:31 AM UTC
Why declareddeclareHybrid
Incident declaration (deterministic floor + LLM relevance gate + geo-exposure floor)v2
DECLARE when deterministicFloor AND (llm.declare OR acuteWeatherFloor OR geoExposureFloor) AND NOT aggregateTitle, and no open same-domain incident merges it. deterministicFloor = maxSeverity>=8 AND (newsScore>=1 OR bpoScore>=1 OR acuteWeatherFloor). acuteWeatherFloor = maxSeverity>=9 AND any signal is an acute severe-weather WARNING (tornado/severe-thunderstorm/flash-flood) — overrides the LLM footprint-based suppression. geoExposureFloor (agents-034) = domain in {geopolitical, financial, labor, supply_chain, travel, infrastructure, seismic, disaster, environmental, health} AND maxSeverity>=8 AND bpoScore>=3 (density_class high/very_high — a major member hub). Anchored to member exposure (geo_density), it overrides the LLM footprint suppression so any of the ten previously-blind domains can declare when genuinely material; corroboration (2+ signals OR domain news) is guaranteed by the worthAnalyzing gate. Weather + cyber are excluded (their tuned paths are unchanged). aggregateTitle (grab-bag "Multiple/Several/Various…") is refused (agents-019 §D). Asset-class deny (military/war-zone, WFM-37) suppresses earlier. cyberFloor disabled (agents-009 hotfix).
domain
weather
regions
["Uvalde, TX"]
bpo score
0
news score
2
llm declare
no
max severity
10
signal count
1
llm rationale
declare:false — operations footprint shows no known contact-center or knowledge-worker presence in Uvalde, TX, and an open incident already covers the broader US South Central tornado situation.
aggregate title
no
high confidence
yes
geo exposure floor
no
acute weather floor
yes
deterministic floor
yes
model claude-sonnet-4-6 · prompt watchkeeper-declare-2026-06
Why SEV3SEV3score 3Deterministic
Incident severity level (SEV1–SEV4) at declarationv1
Base: SEV2 if sev>=9 AND news>=2 AND bpo>=1; else SEV3 if sev>=8 AND (news>=1 OR bpo>=1); else SEV4. Acute severe-weather (agents-028): if sev>=9 floor to SEV3 (SEV2→SEV3); minor/transient watches+advisories drop SEV2/SEV3→SEV4. Single-event cap: any SEV2 caps to SEV3 absent sustained multi-day BPO-region corroboration (SEV2 promotion is human-gated via revalidation). score = numeric SEV (1=most severe … 4); SEV3/SEV4 auto-validate, SEV1/SEV2 require human validation.
domain
weather
bpo score
0
news score
2
persistent
no
max severity
10
auto validated
yes
acute weather floor
yes
Geo Provenance
Tierprecise
Sourcesignal_coords
Deterministic

Related Signals1

[Uvalde, TX] weather 10.0 — Tornado Warningsentinel17d ago

External Corroboration

✓ Corroborated · 4 sourcesChecked Jul 15, 2026, 06:31 AM UTC
Catastrophic flooding possible through Thursday in Texas↗texastribune.orgJul 14, 2026, 10:48 PM UTCTorrential rain floods Uvalde roads and highways - Uvalde Leader News↗uvaldeleadernews.comJul 14, 2026, 01:34 PM UTCHeavy rain prompts flood alerts and road closures across Uvalde County↗news4sanantonio.comJul 14, 2026, 09:10 PM UTCHeavy rains, flash flooding shut down roads west of San Antonio↗expressnews.comJul 14, 2026, 02:30 PM UTC

Affected Regions

Uvalde, TX