Risk maps · rank #5 of 12 by flight impact

Geopolitical

Airspace closures, overflight bans, conflict-zone reroutes.

Geopolitical — the global index

The same reading community.wfmlabs.com shows for this domain. Presentation differs; the number does not.

SETTLED
6.9ELEVATED

Top-scoring event: [China] geopolitical 6.0 — China extends trade barrier probes into U.S. actions citing complexity of investigations

source: ovix-api /api/ovix/op-risk?scope=global · rule: op_risk_index v4 · basis: baseline_percentile · computed 01:59 UTC · 4 events in window

Where geopolitical risk sits

The same index, scored per region. Disc size is the score; a hollow ring means the index publishes no reading for that region — which is not an all-clear.

2/43 SCORED
North America — no reading published for Geopolitical in this scope. Not an all-clear.South America — no reading published for Geopolitical in this scope. Not an all-clear.EMEA — no reading published for Geopolitical in this scope. Not an all-clear.Australia / NZ — no reading published for Geopolitical in this scope. Not an all-clear.US Northeast — no reading published for Geopolitical in this scope. Not an all-clear.US Southeast — no reading published for Geopolitical in this scope. Not an all-clear.US Midwest — no reading published for Geopolitical in this scope. Not an all-clear.US South Central — no reading published for Geopolitical in this scope. Not an all-clear.US Mountain West — no reading published for Geopolitical in this scope. Not an all-clear.US West Coast — no reading published for Geopolitical in this scope. Not an all-clear.Canada East — no reading published for Geopolitical in this scope. Not an all-clear.Canada West — no reading published for Geopolitical in this scope. Not an all-clear.Mexico — no reading published for Geopolitical in this scope. Not an all-clear.Central America — no reading published for Geopolitical in this scope. Not an all-clear.Caribbean — no reading published for Geopolitical in this scope. Not an all-clear.Colombia — no reading published for Geopolitical in this scope. Not an all-clear.Brazil — no reading published for Geopolitical in this scope. Not an all-clear.Argentina — no reading published for Geopolitical in this scope. Not an all-clear.Peru — no reading published for Geopolitical in this scope. Not an all-clear.Chile — no reading published for Geopolitical in this scope. Not an all-clear.Uruguay — no reading published for Geopolitical in this scope. Not an all-clear.UK / Ireland — no reading published for Geopolitical in this scope. Not an all-clear.France — no reading published for Geopolitical in this scope. Not an all-clear.Germany — no reading published for Geopolitical in this scope. Not an all-clear.Netherlands / Belgium — no reading published for Geopolitical in this scope. Not an all-clear.Spain / Portugal — no reading published for Geopolitical in this scope. Not an all-clear.Italy — no reading published for Geopolitical in this scope. Not an all-clear.Poland — no reading published for Geopolitical in this scope. Not an all-clear.Romania / Bulgaria — no reading published for Geopolitical in this scope. Not an all-clear.Turkey — no reading published for Geopolitical in this scope. Not an all-clear.South Africa — no reading published for Geopolitical in this scope. Not an all-clear.Egypt — no reading published for Geopolitical in this scope. Not an all-clear.Morocco — no reading published for Geopolitical in this scope. Not an all-clear.Philippines — no reading published for Geopolitical in this scope. Not an all-clear.India — no reading published for Geopolitical in this scope. Not an all-clear.Japan — no reading published for Geopolitical in this scope. Not an all-clear.South Korea — no reading published for Geopolitical in this scope. Not an all-clear.Malaysia / Singapore — no reading published for Geopolitical in this scope. Not an all-clear.Thailand — no reading published for Geopolitical in this scope. Not an all-clear.Australia — no reading published for Geopolitical in this scope. Not an all-clear.New Zealand — no reading published for Geopolitical in this scope. Not an all-clear.APAC — Geopolitical 9.5/10 · HIGH · SETTLED · 1 events [China] geopolitical 6.0 — China extends trade barrier probes into U.S. actions citing complexity of investigationsChina — Geopolitical 9.2/10 · HIGH · SETTLED · 1 events [China] geopolitical 6.0 — China extends trade barrier probes into U.S. actions citing complexity of investigationsNORTH AMERICASOUTH AMERICAEMEAAPACAUSTRALIA / NZ
2 scoreddisc grows with the index, 0–1041 with no readinghollow — not an all-clear

Nothing on this map is red or amber. The op-risk index is a provisional ranking derived from event volume, not an observation of any airport, so it is drawn in one hue with magnitude carried by size. Red and amber are reserved on this surface for things we checked and found impaired — degraded airfields and declared incidents. Regions the index reports no reading for are drawn hollow rather than as a calm NORMAL, because we have nothing and it is fine are different claims.

source: ovix-api /api/ovix/op-risk?scope=region (5 macro + 38 sub-regions) · geometry: ovix-api /api/ovix/regions — each node at its own published lat/lon · rule: op_risk_index v4 · cache: 5 min

The 133 metro nodes the taxonomy also carries are not drawn: 133 overlapping discs at world scale is the centroid smear PR#10/#11 taught us about, in a new costume. Named here rather than silently omitted.

The scorecard

Every region with a reading, ranked — and every region without one, named. Both halves are the answer.

The 2 scored regions span 9.2–9.5 on a 0–10 scale — a spread of 0.3. Rank them against each other; do not read a band name as a verdict.

MACROAPAC9.5HIGH1 ev
SUBChina9.2HIGH1 ev
◌ No reading published — 41 regions

The index reports available: false for geopolitical in these scopes — no events were scored there in the current window. It publishes those as score 1 / NORMAL, and this page deliberately does not pass that through: “we have nothing” and “it is fine” are different claims, and rendering the first as the second is the failure this whole surface exists to prevent.

North AmericaSouth AmericaEMEAAustralia / NZUS NortheastUS SoutheastUS MidwestUS South CentralUS Mountain WestUS West CoastCanada EastCanada WestMexicoCentral AmericaCaribbeanColombiaBrazilArgentinaPeruChileUruguayUK / IrelandFranceGermanyNetherlands / BelgiumSpain / PortugalItalyPolandRomania / BulgariaTurkeySouth AfricaEgyptMoroccoPhilippinesIndiaJapanSouth KoreaMalaysia / SingaporeThailandAustraliaNew Zealand

Open geopolitical incidents

Declared, evidence-backed, and the only thing on this page allowed a hazard colour.

No geopolitical incident is open. This is a read of the incidents table, not an absence of monitoring — the index above is still scoring this domain.

source: Hub incidents (Watchkeeper) · status: open only

Recent geopolitical signals

The raw stream feeding the index above, last 48 hours.

[China] geopolitical 6.0 — China extends trade barrier probes into U.S. actions citing complexity of investigationssentinel · 5h ago
[GLOBAL] geopolitical 6.0 — Port Congestion Ties Up 12% of Global Global Container Shipping Capacitysentinel · 1d ago
source: Hub signals · window: 48 h · filter: travelrisk producer deny-list