Risk maps · rank #11 of 12 by flight impact

Supply Chain

Jet fuel, parts, catering.

Supply Chain — the global index

The same reading community.wfmlabs.com shows for this domain. Presentation differs; the number does not.

PROV
3.8NORMAL

PROVISIONAL — this score is scored on an absolute basis, because the trailing 30-day baseline is not yet usable. Baseline 71% complete. Provisional scores are comparable to each other right now, but NOT to a settled score and NOT to their own history. Expected to settle about 6 Aug 14:30 UTC.

Top-scoring event: [Novorossiysk, Russia] supply_chain 6.0 — Freight rates for Russia's Urals rise sharply in August on higher security risks, sources say

source: ovix-api /api/ovix/op-risk?scope=global · rule: op_risk_index v4 · basis: provisional_absolute · computed 14:28 UTC · 14 events in window

Where supply chain risk sits

The same index, scored per region. Disc size is the score; a hollow ring means the index publishes no reading for that region — which is not an all-clear.

4/43 SCORED
South America — no reading published for Supply Chain in this scope. Not an all-clear.APAC — no reading published for Supply Chain in this scope. Not an all-clear.Australia / NZ — no reading published for Supply Chain in this scope. Not an all-clear.US Northeast — no reading published for Supply Chain in this scope. Not an all-clear.US Southeast — no reading published for Supply Chain in this scope. Not an all-clear.US South Central — no reading published for Supply Chain in this scope. Not an all-clear.US Mountain West — no reading published for Supply Chain in this scope. Not an all-clear.US West Coast — no reading published for Supply Chain in this scope. Not an all-clear.Canada East — no reading published for Supply Chain in this scope. Not an all-clear.Canada West — no reading published for Supply Chain in this scope. Not an all-clear.Mexico — no reading published for Supply Chain in this scope. Not an all-clear.Central America — no reading published for Supply Chain in this scope. Not an all-clear.Caribbean — no reading published for Supply Chain in this scope. Not an all-clear.Colombia — no reading published for Supply Chain in this scope. Not an all-clear.Brazil — no reading published for Supply Chain in this scope. Not an all-clear.Argentina — no reading published for Supply Chain in this scope. Not an all-clear.Peru — no reading published for Supply Chain in this scope. Not an all-clear.Chile — no reading published for Supply Chain in this scope. Not an all-clear.Uruguay — no reading published for Supply Chain in this scope. Not an all-clear.UK / Ireland — no reading published for Supply Chain in this scope. Not an all-clear.France — no reading published for Supply Chain in this scope. Not an all-clear.Germany — no reading published for Supply Chain in this scope. Not an all-clear.Netherlands / Belgium — no reading published for Supply Chain in this scope. Not an all-clear.Spain / Portugal — no reading published for Supply Chain in this scope. Not an all-clear.Italy — no reading published for Supply Chain in this scope. Not an all-clear.Poland — no reading published for Supply Chain in this scope. Not an all-clear.Romania / Bulgaria — no reading published for Supply Chain in this scope. Not an all-clear.Turkey — no reading published for Supply Chain in this scope. Not an all-clear.South Africa — no reading published for Supply Chain in this scope. Not an all-clear.Morocco — no reading published for Supply Chain in this scope. Not an all-clear.Philippines — no reading published for Supply Chain in this scope. Not an all-clear.India — no reading published for Supply Chain in this scope. Not an all-clear.Japan — no reading published for Supply Chain in this scope. Not an all-clear.South Korea — no reading published for Supply Chain in this scope. Not an all-clear.Malaysia / Singapore — no reading published for Supply Chain in this scope. Not an all-clear.Thailand — no reading published for Supply Chain in this scope. Not an all-clear.China — no reading published for Supply Chain in this scope. Not an all-clear.Australia — no reading published for Supply Chain in this scope. Not an all-clear.New Zealand — no reading published for Supply Chain in this scope. Not an all-clear.EMEA — Supply Chain 2.6/10 · NORMAL · PROVISIONAL · 1 events [Damietta, Egypt] supply_chain 8.0 — Attack on Egyptian Port Shows Suez Canal's VulnerabilityEgypt — Supply Chain 2.6/10 · NORMAL · PROVISIONAL · 1 events [Damietta, Egypt] supply_chain 8.0 — Attack on Egyptian Port Shows Suez Canal's VulnerabilityNorth America — Supply Chain 1.9/10 · NORMAL · PROVISIONAL · 1 events [Minneapolis, United States] supply_chain 5.6 — US Fed Keeps Rates Unchanged As Iran War Inflation Pushes 3 Policymakers To Back HikeUS Midwest — Supply Chain 1.9/10 · NORMAL · PROVISIONAL · 1 events [Minneapolis, United States] supply_chain 5.6 — US Fed Keeps Rates Unchanged As Iran War Inflation Pushes 3 Policymakers To Back HikeNORTH AMERICASOUTH AMERICAEMEAAPACAUSTRALIA / NZ
4 scoreddisc grows with the index, 0–1039 with no readinghollow — not an all-clear

Nothing on this map is red or amber. The op-risk index is a provisional ranking derived from event volume, not an observation of any airport, so it is drawn in one hue with magnitude carried by size. Red and amber are reserved on this surface for things we checked and found impaired — degraded airfields and declared incidents. Regions the index reports no reading for are drawn hollow rather than as a calm NORMAL, because we have nothing and it is fine are different claims.

source: ovix-api /api/ovix/op-risk?scope=region (5 macro + 38 sub-regions) · geometry: ovix-api /api/ovix/regions — each node at its own published lat/lon · rule: op_risk_index v4 · cache: 5 min

The 133 metro nodes the taxonomy also carries are not drawn: 133 overlapping discs at world scale is the centroid smear PR#10/#11 taught us about, in a new costume. Named here rather than silently omitted.

The scorecard

Every region with a reading, ranked — and every region without one, named. Both halves are the answer.

The 4 scored regions span 1.9–2.6 on a 0–10 scale — a spread of 0.7. Rank them against each other; do not read a band name as a verdict.

MACROEMEA2.6NORMAL1 ev
SUBEgypt2.6NORMAL1 ev
MACRONorth America1.9NORMAL1 ev
SUBUS Midwest1.9NORMAL1 ev
◌ No reading published — 39 regions

The index reports available: false for supply chain in these scopes — no events were scored there in the current window. It publishes those as score 1 / NORMAL, and this page deliberately does not pass that through: “we have nothing” and “it is fine” are different claims, and rendering the first as the second is the failure this whole surface exists to prevent.

South AmericaAPACAustralia / NZUS NortheastUS SoutheastUS South CentralUS Mountain WestUS West CoastCanada EastCanada WestMexicoCentral AmericaCaribbeanColombiaBrazilArgentinaPeruChileUruguayUK / IrelandFranceGermanyNetherlands / BelgiumSpain / PortugalItalyPolandRomania / BulgariaTurkeySouth AfricaMoroccoPhilippinesIndiaJapanSouth KoreaMalaysia / SingaporeThailandChinaAustraliaNew Zealand

Open supply chain incidents

Declared, evidence-backed, and the only thing on this page allowed a hazard colour.

No supply chain incident is open. This is a read of the incidents table, not an absence of monitoring — the index above is still scoring this domain.

source: Hub incidents (Watchkeeper) · status: open only

Recent supply chain signals

The raw stream feeding the index above, last 48 hours.

[Novorossiysk, Russia] supply_chain 6.0 — Freight rates for Russia's Urals rise sharply in August on higher security risks, sources saysentinel · 19h ago
Freight rates for Russia's Urals rise sharply in August on higher security risks, sources sayscout-convoy · 19h ago
Container vessel meets with accident in Ctg port channelscout-convoy · 23h ago
source: Hub signals · window: 48 h · filter: travelrisk producer deny-list