Risk maps · rank #8 of 12 by flight impact

Disaster

Airport closure, mass evacuation, terminal damage.

Disaster — the global index

The same reading community.wfmlabs.com shows for this domain. Presentation differs; the number does not.

PROV
4.4ELEVATED

PROVISIONAL — this score is scored on an absolute basis, because the trailing 30-day baseline is not yet usable. Baseline 72% complete. Provisional scores are comparable to each other right now, but NOT to a settled score and NOT to their own history. Expected to settle about 6 Aug 14:31 UTC.

Top-scoring event: [Central Province, Sri Lanka] disaster 6.5 — Sri Lanka closes schools as heavy rains trigger floods and mudslides

source: ovix-api /api/ovix/op-risk?scope=global · rule: op_risk_index v4 · basis: provisional_absolute · computed 15:26 UTC · 270 events in window

Where disaster risk sits

The same index, scored per region. Disc size is the score; a hollow ring means the index publishes no reading for that region — which is not an all-clear.

9/43 SCORED
South America — no reading published for Disaster in this scope. Not an all-clear.Australia / NZ — no reading published for Disaster in this scope. Not an all-clear.US Northeast — no reading published for Disaster in this scope. Not an all-clear.US South Central — no reading published for Disaster in this scope. Not an all-clear.US Mountain West — no reading published for Disaster in this scope. Not an all-clear.Canada East — no reading published for Disaster in this scope. Not an all-clear.Canada West — no reading published for Disaster in this scope. Not an all-clear.Mexico — no reading published for Disaster in this scope. Not an all-clear.Central America — no reading published for Disaster in this scope. Not an all-clear.Caribbean — no reading published for Disaster in this scope. Not an all-clear.Colombia — no reading published for Disaster in this scope. Not an all-clear.Brazil — no reading published for Disaster in this scope. Not an all-clear.Argentina — no reading published for Disaster in this scope. Not an all-clear.Peru — no reading published for Disaster in this scope. Not an all-clear.Chile — no reading published for Disaster in this scope. Not an all-clear.Uruguay — no reading published for Disaster in this scope. Not an all-clear.UK / Ireland — no reading published for Disaster in this scope. Not an all-clear.Germany — no reading published for Disaster in this scope. Not an all-clear.Netherlands / Belgium — no reading published for Disaster in this scope. Not an all-clear.Spain / Portugal — no reading published for Disaster in this scope. Not an all-clear.Italy — no reading published for Disaster in this scope. Not an all-clear.Poland — no reading published for Disaster in this scope. Not an all-clear.Romania / Bulgaria — no reading published for Disaster in this scope. Not an all-clear.Turkey — no reading published for Disaster in this scope. Not an all-clear.South Africa — no reading published for Disaster in this scope. Not an all-clear.Morocco — no reading published for Disaster in this scope. Not an all-clear.Philippines — no reading published for Disaster in this scope. Not an all-clear.India — no reading published for Disaster in this scope. Not an all-clear.Japan — no reading published for Disaster in this scope. Not an all-clear.South Korea — no reading published for Disaster in this scope. Not an all-clear.Malaysia / Singapore — no reading published for Disaster in this scope. Not an all-clear.Thailand — no reading published for Disaster in this scope. Not an all-clear.Australia — no reading published for Disaster in this scope. Not an all-clear.New Zealand — no reading published for Disaster in this scope. Not an all-clear.Egypt — Disaster 4.7/10 · ELEVATED · PROVISIONAL · 2 events [Cairo, Egypt] disaster 5.0 — Egypt struck by 5.3 magnitude earthquake, tremors felt across Cairo and beyondUS West Coast — Disaster 4.5/10 · ELEVATED · PROVISIONAL · 4 events Wildfires near Spokane, Washington destroy more than 700 buildings, force 64,000 to fleeNorth America — Disaster 4.3/10 · ELEVATED · PROVISIONAL · 6 events Wildfires near Spokane, Washington destroy more than 700 buildings, force 64,000 to fleeEMEA — Disaster 3.8/10 · NORMAL · PROVISIONAL · 18 events [Cairo, Egypt] disaster 5.0 — Egypt struck by 5.3 magnitude earthquake, tremors felt across Cairo and beyondUS Southeast — Disaster 3.2/10 · NORMAL · PROVISIONAL · 1 events Surry County issues state of emergency due to severe floodingFrance — Disaster 2.3/10 · NORMAL · PROVISIONAL · 16 events [France] disaster 7.0 — Red forest fire notification in FranceAPAC — Disaster 2.2/10 · NORMAL · PROVISIONAL · 7 events [China] disaster 7.0 — Red flood alert in ChinaChina — Disaster 2.2/10 · NORMAL · PROVISIONAL · 7 events [China] disaster 7.0 — Red flood alert in ChinaUS Midwest — Disaster 1.4/10 · NORMAL · PROVISIONAL · 1 events Gladwin residents told not to flush toilets after lightning strikeNORTH AMERICASOUTH AMERICAEMEAAPACAUSTRALIA / NZ
9 scoreddisc grows with the index, 0–1034 with no readinghollow — not an all-clear

Nothing on this map is red or amber. The op-risk index is a provisional ranking derived from event volume, not an observation of any airport, so it is drawn in one hue with magnitude carried by size. Red and amber are reserved on this surface for things we checked and found impaired — degraded airfields and declared incidents. Regions the index reports no reading for are drawn hollow rather than as a calm NORMAL, because we have nothing and it is fine are different claims.

source: ovix-api /api/ovix/op-risk?scope=region (5 macro + 38 sub-regions) · geometry: ovix-api /api/ovix/regions — each node at its own published lat/lon · rule: op_risk_index v4 · cache: 5 min

The 133 metro nodes the taxonomy also carries are not drawn: 133 overlapping discs at world scale is the centroid smear PR#10/#11 taught us about, in a new costume. Named here rather than silently omitted.

The scorecard

Every region with a reading, ranked — and every region without one, named. Both halves are the answer.

SUBEgypt4.7ELEVATED2 ev
SUBUS West Coast4.5ELEVATED4 ev
MACRONorth America4.3ELEVATED6 ev
MACROEMEA3.8NORMAL18 ev
SUBUS Southeast3.2NORMAL1 ev
SUBFrance2.3NORMAL16 ev
MACROAPAC2.2NORMAL7 ev
SUBChina2.2NORMAL7 ev
SUBUS Midwest1.4NORMAL1 ev
◌ No reading published — 34 regions

The index reports available: false for disaster in these scopes — no events were scored there in the current window. It publishes those as score 1 / NORMAL, and this page deliberately does not pass that through: “we have nothing” and “it is fine” are different claims, and rendering the first as the second is the failure this whole surface exists to prevent.

South AmericaAustralia / NZUS NortheastUS South CentralUS Mountain WestCanada EastCanada WestMexicoCentral AmericaCaribbeanColombiaBrazilArgentinaPeruChileUruguayUK / IrelandGermanyNetherlands / BelgiumSpain / PortugalItalyPolandRomania / BulgariaTurkeySouth AfricaMoroccoPhilippinesIndiaJapanSouth KoreaMalaysia / SingaporeThailandAustraliaNew Zealand

Open disaster incidents

Declared, evidence-backed, and the only thing on this page allowed a hazard colour.

No disaster incident is open. This is a read of the incidents table, not an absence of monitoring — the index above is still scoring this domain.

source: Hub incidents (Watchkeeper) · status: open only

Recent disaster signals

The raw stream feeding the index above, last 48 hours.

Wildfires near Spokane, Washington destroy more than 700 buildings, force 64,000 to fleescout-mayday · 32m ago
Russians shell Donetsk region 25 times in one day, leaving two killed, four injuredscout-mayday · 32m ago
Man Arrested on Suspicion of Arson in Spokane Wildfirescout-mayday · 3h ago
[Cairo, Egypt] disaster 5.0 — Egypt struck by 5.3 magnitude earthquake, tremors felt across Cairo and beyondsentinel · 6h ago
[Central Province, Sri Lanka] disaster 6.5 — Sri Lanka closes schools as heavy rains trigger floods and mudslidessentinel · 6h ago
Egypt struck by 5.3 magnitude earthquake, tremors felt across Cairo and beyondscout-mayday · 6h ago
'Deeply saddened by Assam floods: Anupam Kherscout-mayday · 6h ago
Sri Lanka closes schools as heavy rains trigger floods and mudslidesscout-mayday · 6h ago
Death Toll from Kumamoto Quake Rises to 38scout-mayday · 1d ago
Surry County issues state of emergency due to severe floodingscout-mayday · 1d ago
source: Hub signals · window: 48 h · filter: travelrisk producer deny-list