Risk maps · rank #7 of 12 by flight impact

Seismic

Volcanic ash is a first-order aviation hazard; quakes close airports.

Seismic — the global index

The same reading community.wfmlabs.com shows for this domain. Presentation differs; the number does not.

PROV
3.9NORMAL

PROVISIONAL — this score is scored on an absolute basis, because the trailing 30-day baseline is not yet usable. Baseline 72% complete. Provisional scores are comparable to each other right now, but NOT to a settled score and NOT to their own history. Expected to settle about 6 Aug 14:33 UTC.

Top-scoring event: [Kumamoto Prefecture] seismic 7.5 — Japan quake survivors battle heat and water shortage in Kumamoto

source: ovix-api /api/ovix/op-risk?scope=global · rule: op_risk_index v4 · basis: provisional_absolute · computed 15:26 UTC · 236 events in window

Where seismic risk sits

The same index, scored per region. Disc size is the score; a hollow ring means the index publishes no reading for that region — which is not an all-clear.

5/43 SCORED
North America — no reading published for Seismic in this scope. Not an all-clear.South America — no reading published for Seismic in this scope. Not an all-clear.Australia / NZ — no reading published for Seismic in this scope. Not an all-clear.US Northeast — no reading published for Seismic in this scope. Not an all-clear.US Southeast — no reading published for Seismic in this scope. Not an all-clear.US Midwest — no reading published for Seismic in this scope. Not an all-clear.US South Central — no reading published for Seismic in this scope. Not an all-clear.US Mountain West — no reading published for Seismic in this scope. Not an all-clear.US West Coast — no reading published for Seismic in this scope. Not an all-clear.Canada East — no reading published for Seismic in this scope. Not an all-clear.Canada West — no reading published for Seismic in this scope. Not an all-clear.Mexico — no reading published for Seismic in this scope. Not an all-clear.Central America — no reading published for Seismic in this scope. Not an all-clear.Caribbean — no reading published for Seismic in this scope. Not an all-clear.Colombia — no reading published for Seismic in this scope. Not an all-clear.Brazil — no reading published for Seismic in this scope. Not an all-clear.Argentina — no reading published for Seismic in this scope. Not an all-clear.Peru — no reading published for Seismic in this scope. Not an all-clear.Chile — no reading published for Seismic in this scope. Not an all-clear.Uruguay — no reading published for Seismic in this scope. Not an all-clear.France — no reading published for Seismic in this scope. Not an all-clear.Germany — no reading published for Seismic in this scope. Not an all-clear.Netherlands / Belgium — no reading published for Seismic in this scope. Not an all-clear.Italy — no reading published for Seismic in this scope. Not an all-clear.Poland — no reading published for Seismic in this scope. Not an all-clear.Romania / Bulgaria — no reading published for Seismic in this scope. Not an all-clear.Turkey — no reading published for Seismic in this scope. Not an all-clear.South Africa — no reading published for Seismic in this scope. Not an all-clear.Egypt — no reading published for Seismic in this scope. Not an all-clear.Morocco — no reading published for Seismic in this scope. Not an all-clear.Philippines — no reading published for Seismic in this scope. Not an all-clear.India — no reading published for Seismic in this scope. Not an all-clear.Japan — no reading published for Seismic in this scope. Not an all-clear.South Korea — no reading published for Seismic in this scope. Not an all-clear.Malaysia / Singapore — no reading published for Seismic in this scope. Not an all-clear.Thailand — no reading published for Seismic in this scope. Not an all-clear.Australia — no reading published for Seismic in this scope. Not an all-clear.New Zealand — no reading published for Seismic in this scope. Not an all-clear.Spain / Portugal — Seismic 3.9/10 · NORMAL · PROVISIONAL · 1 events [Benidorm, Spain] seismic 6.0 — Panic as 4.1 earthquake rocks Spanish holiday hotspot popular with BritsEMEA — Seismic 3.7/10 · NORMAL · PROVISIONAL · 2 events [Benidorm, Spain] seismic 6.0 — Panic as 4.1 earthquake rocks Spanish holiday hotspot popular with BritsUK / Ireland — Seismic 2.7/10 · NORMAL · PROVISIONAL · 1 events Family feared for their lives as earthquake struck holiday villaAPAC — Seismic 1.6/10 · NORMAL · PROVISIONAL · 1 events [Qinghai, China] seismic 5.2 — Two earthquakes strike remote Chinese province just 18 minutes apartChina — Seismic 1.6/10 · NORMAL · PROVISIONAL · 1 events [Qinghai, China] seismic 5.2 — Two earthquakes strike remote Chinese province just 18 minutes apartNORTH AMERICASOUTH AMERICAEMEAAPACAUSTRALIA / NZ
5 scoreddisc grows with the index, 0–1038 with no readinghollow — not an all-clear

Nothing on this map is red or amber. The op-risk index is a provisional ranking derived from event volume, not an observation of any airport, so it is drawn in one hue with magnitude carried by size. Red and amber are reserved on this surface for things we checked and found impaired — degraded airfields and declared incidents. Regions the index reports no reading for are drawn hollow rather than as a calm NORMAL, because we have nothing and it is fine are different claims.

source: ovix-api /api/ovix/op-risk?scope=region (5 macro + 38 sub-regions) · geometry: ovix-api /api/ovix/regions — each node at its own published lat/lon · rule: op_risk_index v4 · cache: 5 min

The 133 metro nodes the taxonomy also carries are not drawn: 133 overlapping discs at world scale is the centroid smear PR#10/#11 taught us about, in a new costume. Named here rather than silently omitted.

The scorecard

Every region with a reading, ranked — and every region without one, named. Both halves are the answer.

SUBSpain / Portugal3.9NORMAL1 ev
MACROEMEA3.7NORMAL2 ev
SUBUK / Ireland2.7NORMAL1 ev
MACROAPAC1.6NORMAL1 ev
SUBChina1.6NORMAL1 ev
◌ No reading published — 38 regions

The index reports available: false for seismic in these scopes — no events were scored there in the current window. It publishes those as score 1 / NORMAL, and this page deliberately does not pass that through: “we have nothing” and “it is fine” are different claims, and rendering the first as the second is the failure this whole surface exists to prevent.

North AmericaSouth AmericaAustralia / NZUS NortheastUS SoutheastUS MidwestUS South CentralUS Mountain WestUS West CoastCanada EastCanada WestMexicoCentral AmericaCaribbeanColombiaBrazilArgentinaPeruChileUruguayFranceGermanyNetherlands / BelgiumItalyPolandRomania / BulgariaTurkeySouth AfricaEgyptMoroccoPhilippinesIndiaJapanSouth KoreaMalaysia / SingaporeThailandAustraliaNew Zealand

Open seismic incidents

Declared, evidence-backed, and the only thing on this page allowed a hazard colour.

No seismic incident is open. This is a read of the incidents table, not an absence of monitoring — the index above is still scoring this domain.

source: Hub incidents (Watchkeeper) · status: open only

Recent seismic signals

The raw stream feeding the index above, last 48 hours.

[Kumamoto Prefecture] seismic 7.5 — Japan quake survivors battle heat and water shortage in Kumamotosentinel · 15h ago
Japan quake survivors battle heat and water shortage in Kumamotoscout-richter · 15h ago
[Kumamoto Prefecture] seismic 6.0 — Japan earthquake: Two workers told to re-enter Aeon Mall before fatal explosionsentinel · 23h ago
Japan earthquake: Two workers told to re-enter Aeon Mall before fatal explosionscout-richter · 23h ago
[Global] seismic 6.0 — UPDATE 2: Earthquake shakes Egypt, no immediate reports of damagesentinel · 1d ago
UPDATE 2: Earthquake shakes Egypt, no immediate reports of damagescout-richter · 1d ago
[Benidorm, Spain] seismic 6.0 — Panic as 4.1 earthquake rocks Spanish holiday hotspot popular with Britssentinel · 1d ago
Panic as 4.1 earthquake rocks Spanish holiday hotspot popular with Britsscout-richter · 1d ago
[North Island] seismic 5.0 — Magnitude 5.9 earthquake strikes off the east coast of North Island in New Zealandsentinel · 1d ago
Magnitude 5.9 earthquake strikes off the east coast of North Island in New Zealandscout-richter · 1d ago
source: Hub signals · window: 48 h · filter: travelrisk producer deny-list