Risk maps · rank #1 of 12 by flight impact

Travel

The direct signal — ground stops, carrier IROPS, GDS outages, rail.

Travel — the global index

The same reading community.wfmlabs.com shows for this domain. Presentation differs; the number does not.

PROV
4.1ELEVATED

PROVISIONAL — this score is scored on an absolute basis, because the trailing 30-day baseline is not yet usable. Baseline 72% complete. Provisional scores are comparable to each other right now, but NOT to a settled score and NOT to their own history. Expected to settle about 6 Aug 14:36 UTC.

Top-scoring event: US-Iran Military Escalation and Hormuz/Red Sea Shipping Corridor Attacks

source: ovix-api /api/ovix/op-risk?scope=global · rule: op_risk_index v4 · basis: provisional_absolute · computed 15:33 UTC · 154 events in window

Where travel risk sits

The same index, scored per region. Disc size is the score; a hollow ring means the index publishes no reading for that region — which is not an all-clear.

10/43 SCORED
APAC — no reading published for Travel in this scope. Not an all-clear.Australia / NZ — no reading published for Travel in this scope. Not an all-clear.US Southeast — no reading published for Travel in this scope. Not an all-clear.US Midwest — no reading published for Travel in this scope. Not an all-clear.Canada West — no reading published for Travel in this scope. Not an all-clear.Mexico — no reading published for Travel in this scope. Not an all-clear.Central America — no reading published for Travel in this scope. Not an all-clear.Caribbean — no reading published for Travel in this scope. Not an all-clear.Colombia — no reading published for Travel in this scope. Not an all-clear.Argentina — no reading published for Travel in this scope. Not an all-clear.Peru — no reading published for Travel in this scope. Not an all-clear.Chile — no reading published for Travel in this scope. Not an all-clear.Uruguay — no reading published for Travel in this scope. Not an all-clear.UK / Ireland — no reading published for Travel in this scope. Not an all-clear.France — no reading published for Travel in this scope. Not an all-clear.Germany — no reading published for Travel in this scope. Not an all-clear.Netherlands / Belgium — no reading published for Travel in this scope. Not an all-clear.Italy — no reading published for Travel in this scope. Not an all-clear.Poland — no reading published for Travel in this scope. Not an all-clear.Romania / Bulgaria — no reading published for Travel in this scope. Not an all-clear.Turkey — no reading published for Travel in this scope. Not an all-clear.South Africa — no reading published for Travel in this scope. Not an all-clear.Egypt — no reading published for Travel in this scope. Not an all-clear.Morocco — no reading published for Travel in this scope. Not an all-clear.Philippines — no reading published for Travel in this scope. Not an all-clear.India — no reading published for Travel in this scope. Not an all-clear.Japan — no reading published for Travel in this scope. Not an all-clear.South Korea — no reading published for Travel in this scope. Not an all-clear.Malaysia / Singapore — no reading published for Travel in this scope. Not an all-clear.Thailand — no reading published for Travel in this scope. Not an all-clear.China — no reading published for Travel in this scope. Not an all-clear.Australia — no reading published for Travel in this scope. Not an all-clear.New Zealand — no reading published for Travel in this scope. Not an all-clear.US Northeast — Travel 4.3/10 · ELEVATED · PROVISIONAL · 2 events Road Closed: New York (I-95 N, New Jersey Tpke N)North America — Travel 3.9/10 · NORMAL · PROVISIONAL · 6 events Road Closed: New York (I-95 N, New Jersey Tpke N)US South Central — Travel 3.1/10 · NORMAL · PROVISIONAL · 1 events Departure Delays: DFWUS Mountain West — Travel 2.7/10 · NORMAL · PROVISIONAL · 1 events Road Closure: DenverSouth America — Travel 1.9/10 · NORMAL · PROVISIONAL · 1 events Five killed as fierce winds bring chaos to Rio, Sao Paulo regionUS West Coast — Travel 1.9/10 · NORMAL · PROVISIONAL · 1 events Gale Warning issued July 30 at 2:00AM PDT until August 1 at 3:00PM PDT by NWS San Francisco CABrazil — Travel 1.9/10 · NORMAL · PROVISIONAL · 1 events Five killed as fierce winds bring chaos to Rio, Sao Paulo regionEMEA — Travel 1.4/10 · NORMAL · PROVISIONAL · 1 events Ryanair issues warning for passengers travelling to 15 airportsCanada East — Travel 1.4/10 · NORMAL · PROVISIONAL · 1 events U.S. customs causes cancellation of some flights departing from Montreal airportSpain / Portugal — Travel 1.4/10 · NORMAL · PROVISIONAL · 1 events Ryanair issues warning for passengers travelling to 15 airportsNORTH AMERICASOUTH AMERICAEMEAAPACAUSTRALIA / NZ
10 scoreddisc grows with the index, 0–1033 with no readinghollow — not an all-clear

Nothing on this map is red or amber. The op-risk index is a provisional ranking derived from event volume, not an observation of any airport, so it is drawn in one hue with magnitude carried by size. Red and amber are reserved on this surface for things we checked and found impaired — degraded airfields and declared incidents. Regions the index reports no reading for are drawn hollow rather than as a calm NORMAL, because we have nothing and it is fine are different claims.

source: ovix-api /api/ovix/op-risk?scope=region (5 macro + 38 sub-regions) · geometry: ovix-api /api/ovix/regions — each node at its own published lat/lon · rule: op_risk_index v4 · cache: 5 min

The 133 metro nodes the taxonomy also carries are not drawn: 133 overlapping discs at world scale is the centroid smear PR#10/#11 taught us about, in a new costume. Named here rather than silently omitted.

The scorecard

Every region with a reading, ranked — and every region without one, named. Both halves are the answer.

SUBUS Northeast4.3ELEVATED2 ev
MACRONorth America3.9NORMAL6 ev
SUBUS South Central3.1NORMAL1 ev
SUBUS Mountain West2.7NORMAL1 ev
MACROSouth America1.9NORMAL1 ev
SUBUS West Coast1.9NORMAL1 ev
SUBBrazil1.9NORMAL1 ev
MACROEMEA1.4NORMAL1 ev
SUBCanada East1.4NORMAL1 ev
SUBSpain / Portugal1.4NORMAL1 ev
◌ No reading published — 33 regions

The index reports available: false for travel in these scopes — no events were scored there in the current window. It publishes those as score 1 / NORMAL, and this page deliberately does not pass that through: “we have nothing” and “it is fine” are different claims, and rendering the first as the second is the failure this whole surface exists to prevent.

APACAustralia / NZUS SoutheastUS MidwestCanada WestMexicoCentral AmericaCaribbeanColombiaArgentinaPeruChileUruguayUK / IrelandFranceGermanyNetherlands / BelgiumItalyPolandRomania / BulgariaTurkeySouth AfricaEgyptMoroccoPhilippinesIndiaJapanSouth KoreaMalaysia / SingaporeThailandChinaAustraliaNew Zealand

Open travel incidents

Declared, evidence-backed, and the only thing on this page allowed a hazard colour.

No travel incident is open. This is a read of the incidents table, not an absence of monitoring — the index above is still scoring this domain.

source: Hub incidents (Watchkeeper) · status: open only

Recent travel signals

The raw stream feeding the index above, last 48 hours.

US-Iran Military Escalation and Hormuz Shipping Corridor Attack Surgetravel-intel/News-Intel · 1h ago
US-Iran Military Escalation and Hormuz/Red Sea Shipping Corridor Attackstravel-intel/News-Intel · 1h ago
Global Seafarer Labor Strain and Maritime Workforce Stresstravel-intel/News-Intel · 7h ago
Ground Delay: SEAtravel-intel/FAA · 10h ago
Ground Stop: SEAtravel-intel/FAA · 12h ago
Ground Delay: MIAtravel-intel/FAA · 19h ago
Middle East Regional Conflict Expansion and Shipping Disruptiontravel-intel/News-Intel · 1d ago
US-Iran Military Escalation and Hormuz Shipping Corridor Attackstravel-intel/News-Intel · 1d ago
Red Sea and Indian Ocean Shipping Disruption via Houthi and Iranian Attackstravel-intel/News-Intel · 1d ago
Ground Stop: JFKtravel-intel/FAA · 1d ago
source: Hub signals · window: 48 h · filter: travelrisk producer deny-list