Risk maps · rank #2 of 12 by flight impact

Weather

The single largest cause of delay and cancellation worldwide.

Weather — the global index

The same reading community.wfmlabs.com shows for this domain. Presentation differs; the number does not.

PROV
4.6ELEVATED

PROVISIONAL — this score is scored on an absolute basis, because the trailing 30-day baseline is not yet usable. Baseline 72% complete. Provisional scores are comparable to each other right now, but NOT to a settled score and NOT to their own history. Expected to settle about 6 Aug 14:36 UTC.

Top-scoring event: [Sardegna, Italy] weather 6.0 — Red High-temperature Warning for Italy - Sardegna

source: ovix-api /api/ovix/op-risk?scope=global · rule: op_risk_index v4 · basis: provisional_absolute · computed 15:33 UTC · 319 events in window

Where weather risk sits

The same index, scored per region. Disc size is the score; a hollow ring means the index publishes no reading for that region — which is not an all-clear.

16/43 SCORED
South America — no reading published for Weather in this scope. Not an all-clear.Australia / NZ — no reading published for Weather in this scope. Not an all-clear.US South Central — no reading published for Weather in this scope. Not an all-clear.Canada East — no reading published for Weather in this scope. Not an all-clear.Canada West — no reading published for Weather in this scope. Not an all-clear.Mexico — no reading published for Weather in this scope. Not an all-clear.Central America — no reading published for Weather in this scope. Not an all-clear.Caribbean — no reading published for Weather in this scope. Not an all-clear.Colombia — no reading published for Weather in this scope. Not an all-clear.Brazil — no reading published for Weather in this scope. Not an all-clear.Argentina — no reading published for Weather in this scope. Not an all-clear.Peru — no reading published for Weather in this scope. Not an all-clear.Chile — no reading published for Weather in this scope. Not an all-clear.Uruguay — no reading published for Weather in this scope. Not an all-clear.UK / Ireland — no reading published for Weather in this scope. Not an all-clear.France — no reading published for Weather in this scope. Not an all-clear.Netherlands / Belgium — no reading published for Weather in this scope. Not an all-clear.Turkey — no reading published for Weather in this scope. Not an all-clear.South Africa — no reading published for Weather in this scope. Not an all-clear.Egypt — no reading published for Weather in this scope. Not an all-clear.Morocco — no reading published for Weather in this scope. Not an all-clear.Philippines — no reading published for Weather in this scope. Not an all-clear.Japan — no reading published for Weather in this scope. Not an all-clear.Malaysia / Singapore — no reading published for Weather in this scope. Not an all-clear.Thailand — no reading published for Weather in this scope. Not an all-clear.Australia — no reading published for Weather in this scope. Not an all-clear.New Zealand — no reading published for Weather in this scope. Not an all-clear.EMEA — Weather 4.6/10 · ELEVATED · PROVISIONAL · 77 events [Sardegna, Italy] weather 6.0 — Red High-temperature Warning for Italy - SardegnaItaly — Weather 4.6/10 · ELEVATED · PROVISIONAL · 8 events [Sardegna, Italy] weather 6.0 — Red High-temperature Warning for Italy - SardegnaPoland — Weather 4.3/10 · ELEVATED · PROVISIONAL · 20 events [Katowice] weather 10.0 — Red Heat wave warning for Poland - Lubelskie Province Lubelski CountyGermany — Weather 4.0/10 · ELEVATED · PROVISIONAL · 5 events [Frankfurt] weather 10.0 — Amtliche WARNUNG vor extremer HITZESouth Korea — Weather 4.0/10 · ELEVATED · PROVISIONAL · 1 events South Korea: Highest Heat Warning Level Issued for SeoulSpain / Portugal — Weather 3.8/10 · NORMAL · PROVISIONAL · 28 events [Madrid] weather 10.0 — Severe high-temperature warning. Vega del SeguraRomania / Bulgaria — Weather 3.7/10 · NORMAL · PROVISIONAL · 16 events [Bucharest] weather 10.0 — Valul de căldură intens va persista și se vor înregistra temperaturi extreme comparabile cu recordurile absolute ale lunii august. Temperaturile maxime vor fi cuprinse întreNorth America — Weather 3.5/10 · NORMAL · PROVISIONAL · 28 events [Us Northeast] weather 10.0 — Tornado WarningUS Northeast — Weather 3.5/10 · NORMAL · PROVISIONAL · 4 events [Us Northeast] weather 10.0 — Tornado WarningAPAC — Weather 3.4/10 · NORMAL · PROVISIONAL · 3 events South Korea: Highest Heat Warning Level Issued for SeoulUS Mountain West — Weather 3.1/10 · NORMAL · PROVISIONAL · 9 events Wide Mouth 2 Fire explodes, fire behavior 'catastrophic'US Southeast — Weather 3.0/10 · NORMAL · PROVISIONAL · 8 events [Charlotte] weather 10.0 — Severe Thunderstorm WarningUS Midwest — Weather 2.9/10 · NORMAL · PROVISIONAL · 4 events [Us Midwest] weather 10.0 — Tornado WarningUS West Coast — Weather 2.7/10 · NORMAL · PROVISIONAL · 4 events Mendocino Co.: Update: Evacuations Expanded As Feliz Fire Surges To 501 AcresChina — Weather 2.4/10 · NORMAL · PROVISIONAL · 1 events [Gansu, China] weather 6.5 — Northwest China on High Alert as Heavy Rain Raises Risk of Floods and LandslidesIndia — Weather 2.1/10 · NORMAL · PROVISIONAL · 1 events Water released from Pune's Khadakwasla dam; areas along Mutha river inundatedNORTH AMERICASOUTH AMERICAEMEAAPACAUSTRALIA / NZ
16 scoreddisc grows with the index, 0–1027 with no readinghollow — not an all-clear

Nothing on this map is red or amber. The op-risk index is a provisional ranking derived from event volume, not an observation of any airport, so it is drawn in one hue with magnitude carried by size. Red and amber are reserved on this surface for things we checked and found impaired — degraded airfields and declared incidents. Regions the index reports no reading for are drawn hollow rather than as a calm NORMAL, because we have nothing and it is fine are different claims.

source: ovix-api /api/ovix/op-risk?scope=region (5 macro + 38 sub-regions) · geometry: ovix-api /api/ovix/regions — each node at its own published lat/lon · rule: op_risk_index v4 · cache: 5 min

The 133 metro nodes the taxonomy also carries are not drawn: 133 overlapping discs at world scale is the centroid smear PR#10/#11 taught us about, in a new costume. Named here rather than silently omitted.

The scorecard

Every region with a reading, ranked — and every region without one, named. Both halves are the answer.

MACROEMEA4.6ELEVATED77 ev
SUBItaly4.6ELEVATED8 ev
SUBPoland4.3ELEVATED20 ev
SUBGermany4.0ELEVATED5 ev
SUBSouth Korea4.0ELEVATED1 ev
SUBSpain / Portugal3.8NORMAL28 ev
SUBRomania / Bulgaria3.7NORMAL16 ev
MACRONorth America3.5NORMAL28 ev
SUBUS Northeast3.5NORMAL4 ev
MACROAPAC3.4NORMAL3 ev
SUBUS Mountain West3.1NORMAL9 ev
SUBUS Southeast3.0NORMAL8 ev
SUBUS Midwest2.9NORMAL4 ev
SUBUS West Coast2.7NORMAL4 ev
SUBChina2.4NORMAL1 ev
SUBIndia2.1NORMAL1 ev
◌ No reading published — 27 regions

The index reports available: false for weather in these scopes — no events were scored there in the current window. It publishes those as score 1 / NORMAL, and this page deliberately does not pass that through: “we have nothing” and “it is fine” are different claims, and rendering the first as the second is the failure this whole surface exists to prevent.

South AmericaAustralia / NZUS South CentralCanada EastCanada WestMexicoCentral AmericaCaribbeanColombiaBrazilArgentinaPeruChileUruguayUK / IrelandFranceNetherlands / BelgiumTurkeySouth AfricaEgyptMoroccoPhilippinesJapanMalaysia / SingaporeThailandAustraliaNew Zealand

Open weather incidents

Declared, evidence-backed, and the only thing on this page allowed a hazard colour.

No weather incident is open. This is a read of the incidents table, not an absence of monitoring — the index above is still scoring this domain.

source: Hub incidents (Watchkeeper) · status: open only

Recent weather signals

The raw stream feeding the index above, last 48 hours.

[Cluj Napoca] weather 10.0 — Valul de căldură intens va persista și se vor înregistra temperaturi extreme comparabile cu recordurile absolute ale lunii august. Temperaturile maxime vor fi cuprinse întsentinel · 30m ago
[Bucharest] weather 10.0 — Valul de căldură intens va persista și se vor înregistra temperaturi extreme comparabile cu recordurile absolute ale lunii august. Temperaturile maxime vor fi cuprinse întresentinel · 30m ago
[Frankfurt] weather 10.0 — Amtliche WARNUNG vor extremer HITZEsentinel · 3h ago
Keralam: Flash floods batter Ranni businesses; traders say they "did not receive any compensation"scout-gale · 3h ago
[Sardegna, Italy] weather 6.0 — Red High-temperature Warning for Italy - Sardegnasentinel · 3h ago
[Katowice] weather 10.0 — Red Heat wave warning for Poland - Lubelskie Province Lubelski Countysentinel · 4h ago
[Mazowieckie Province Wyszkowski County] weather 5.5 — Red Heat wave warning for Poland - Mazowieckie Province Wyszkowski Countysentinel · 4h ago
[Mazowieckie Province PłOck County] weather 5.5 — Red Heat wave warning for Poland - Mazowieckie Province Plock Countysentinel · 4h ago
[Podlaskie Province Bielski County] weather 5.5 — Red Heat wave warning for Poland - Podlaskie Province Bielski Countysentinel · 4h ago
South Korea: Highest Heat Warning Level Issued for Seoulscout-gale · 6h ago
source: Hub signals · window: 48 h · filter: travelrisk producer deny-list